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Inflation

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Wet_Blanket View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Wet_Blanket Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/14/2021 at 1:45pm
Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

Just trying to get WP and Moraen back to the table.

LOL
Hey now, there is inflation.  WP was just telling me about his cousin's balls inflating!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Conrad Dobler Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/14/2021 at 7:39pm
Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Buy your hamburger today, I heard on AH the price will double tomorrow.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Nathan Explosion Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/14/2021 at 8:51pm
Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Are the the same guys that are epidemiologists?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote WarPig Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/14/2021 at 9:41pm
Originally posted by Conrad Dobler Conrad Dobler wrote:

Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Buy your hamburger today, I heard on AH the price will double tomorrow.

Picnics are only .16 cents more this year or is it less? Deflation?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote RIArules Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/15/2021 at 3:13am
Originally posted by Conrad Dobler Conrad Dobler wrote:

Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Buy your hamburger today, I heard on AH the price will double tomorrow.

Fajitas (skirt steaks) are still fucking insane. Are you trying to say the very real inflation we had wasn’t real, or that it won’t go up too bad in the future?  Housing prices here are still up 20-40% YoY.  Just admit it’s fucked up.
If only I sucked Bank Dick and got a pseudo Ivy League certificate, perhaps it would make me feel better?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Moraen Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/15/2021 at 7:31am
Originally posted by RIArules RIArules wrote:

Originally posted by Conrad Dobler Conrad Dobler wrote:

Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Buy your hamburger today, I heard on AH the price will double tomorrow.

Fajitas (skirt steaks) are still fucking insane. Are you trying to say the very real inflation we had wasn’t real, or that it won’t go up too bad in the future?  Housing prices here are still up 20-40% YoY.  Just admit it’s fucked up.

I am trying to say that we have inflation, but we always have inflation. The question is "do we have runaway inflation" and the answer appears to be we don't. Prices are always going to go up.
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Conrad Dobler View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Conrad Dobler Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/15/2021 at 9:07am
Originally posted by RIArules RIArules wrote:

Originally posted by Conrad Dobler Conrad Dobler wrote:

Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Buy your hamburger today, I heard on AH the price will double tomorrow.

Fajitas (skirt steaks) are still fucking insane. Are you trying to say the very real inflation we had wasn’t real, or that it won’t go up too bad in the future?  Housing prices here are still up 20-40% YoY.  Just admit it’s fucked up.

Just admit we’re having supply chain issues as the economy and demand comes back to life. The sky isn’t falling, Fails. Get a grip.

AFAICT year over year housing pricing is up 18%. That’s a big number attributable to home prices climbing over low new construction (supply chain, again) and low mortgage rates. Who knows if prices will stay this high, but I suspect if they drop that panic will be forgotten as quickly as the lumber price panic was.


Edited by Conrad Dobler - Sep/15/2021 at 9:32am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote WarPig Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/15/2021 at 9:32am
Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by RIArules RIArules wrote:

Originally posted by Conrad Dobler Conrad Dobler wrote:

Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Buy your hamburger today, I heard on AH the price will double tomorrow.

Fajitas (skirt steaks) are still fucking insane. Are you trying to say the very real inflation we had wasn’t real, or that it won’t go up too bad in the future?  Housing prices here are still up 20-40% YoY.  Just admit it’s fucked up.

I am trying to say that we have inflation, but we always have inflation. The question is "do we have runaway inflation" and the answer appears to be we don't. Prices are always going to go up.

Define runaway inflation when the prior 10 yr number was what? 1.7%  Is doubling that runaway? or just "normal"
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Moraen Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/15/2021 at 10:21am
Originally posted by WarPig WarPig wrote:

Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by RIArules RIArules wrote:

Originally posted by Conrad Dobler Conrad Dobler wrote:

Originally posted by Moraen Moraen wrote:

Originally posted by B24 B24 wrote:

So it looks like inflation is coming back down, just as expected.






LOL

You shut your damn mouth B24! I was told by the economists on Advisorheads that inflation is running rampant! Rampant I tell you! 

Buy your hamburger today, I heard on AH the price will double tomorrow.

Fajitas (skirt steaks) are still fucking insane. Are you trying to say the very real inflation we had wasn’t real, or that it won’t go up too bad in the future?  Housing prices here are still up 20-40% YoY.  Just admit it’s fucked up.

I am trying to say that we have inflation, but we always have inflation. The question is "do we have runaway inflation" and the answer appears to be we don't. Prices are always going to go up.

Define runaway inflation when the prior 10 yr number was what? 1.7%  Is doubling that runaway? or just "normal"

Over what time period?  One year? Two years?

The standard deviation for CPI is precisely 1.7%. So doubling would only be one standard deviation. I would say that is normal oscillation. 
I come in peace. I didn’t bring artillery. But I’m pleading with you, with tears in my eyes: If you fuck with me, I’ll kill you all. - General James Mattis

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Conrad Dobler View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Conrad Dobler Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/15/2021 at 10:28am
1.7 is too low a bar and it’s looking over too short a timeline.
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Moraen View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Moraen Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/15/2021 at 10:55am
Yeah, 30 year mean is 2.33% (as of 7/31/21) and standard deviation is 1.7%. I would say if inflation is lower than 5.7% it's within normal fluctuations.
I come in peace. I didn’t bring artillery. But I’m pleading with you, with tears in my eyes: If you fuck with me, I’ll kill you all. - General James Mattis

Fiduciary as Fuck - iMo
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